Partners' meeting · numbers as of 12 Nov 2026
Prophecy money check-in
Where the money went, what is coming in the next 14 months, and what has to happen so the founders can stop topping up. Click any bar to see what is inside it.
Part 1 · Where the money went
Since December, about 944k has been spent or is owed
The 944k is what has been spent or is owed; COL-02's planned spending is shown on top of it. Click a row to open its breakdown slide.
Part 1 · Set-up, Dec 2025 to Jul 2026
Set-up cost 417k before the first collection existed
All paid. Click a row to see every payment in it. Source: money trail reconciliation, bank statements.
Part 1 · COL-01
COL-01 cost 424k to make: 297k paid, 128k still owed
Almost all of what is owed is the factory's make cost. Click a row for the payments behind it.
Part 1 · COL-02
COL-02 so far: 70k spent. The current plan adds about 494k more
Plan = the COL-02 SKU master (385 pieces) plus trims, freight and packaging at COL-01 rates, a 70k shoot and a 3% buffer. Nothing in the plan is locked.
Part 1 · Sampling and design
Sampling and design: 89k on COL-01, 48k on COL-02 so far
Before COL-01 there was another 189k of set-up sampling: 135k of fabric and materials, 50k of machinist and 3k of patterns. Click a row for every payment.
Part 1 · The big picture
Only about 38 of every 100 baht became clothes we can sell
Each square is 1% of everything spent or owed since December 2025.
Part 1 · Lessons
The biggest spending that did not turn into anything we can sell
Part 1 · Still to spend
Still to spend: every line is a choice we can still change
Production can be changed style by style on the next slide. Sizes are the current plan.
Part 2 · The whole picture, Dec 2025 to Dec 2027
The whole picture
Left of "Today" is what happened (bank statements); right of it is the projection. Hover or tap a month for the numbers.
How to read this chart
Panel 1: running totals since the first baht went in. Cash in the bank is founders' money plus sales minus spending. Panel 2: each line is sales minus costs since the start; above zero means it has earned back everything it cost. COL-01 costs include its shoot; the whole business also carries set-up and running costs. Panel 3: what was happening when, and every founder top-up (solid = done, dashed = still needed).
Part 2 · Prices by style
Prices by style: what each one earns, and what it does to the whole picture
Profit after making the clothes, by style
COL-01 · 316 pieces, already made
COL-02 · pieces and prices you can change
Part 2 · Cash ahead
Most of the money goes out months before anything sells
Part 3 · Running without new money
What has to happen so November is the last top-up
Part 3 · Running the business, and paying ourselves
What it takes to run Prophecy, and pay ourselves
Where every 100 baht of sales goes, once the business runs steadily
Retained earnings: the profit kept in the business since day one
Part 3 · Running without new money
Five levers that reduce the money we need to put in
Sizes come from the model on the cash slide, at the plan and the expected sales case.
Part 3 · How money moves from now on
One collection pays for the next
- Top-ups are planned, not surprisesFounders put money in only when the plan shows cash falling below the safety buffer, in equal shares, agreed ahead.
- Company money stays in the company accountSuppliers are paid from the shared account, every payment has a receipt, no more personal fronting.
- Nothing is ordered that the plan can't pay forEach collection gets a cost plan first. Bigger orders wait for sales from the last one.
- Money goes back in a fixed orderBills, then the safety buffer, then savings for the next collection, then paying founders back.
Wrap-up
Risks to watch, and what we decide today
Risks
- No sales data yetEvery cash number rests on how COL-01 sells. The first month of sales will tell us which case we are in.
- Factory minimum ordersThe knit factory lists 100 per colour; ordering at the minimum in every colour would add about 175k. We can choose fewer colours or another factory.
- VATOnce sales pass 1.8M a year we must register, and about 6.5% of each price goes to tax. COL-01 alone is worth 1.52M at full price.
- 27k of payments not itemisedThey need receipts before the books can be closed.
Decisions for today
- The November top-upHow much each, and by when.
- COL-02: what we make, and whenQuantities by style, and whether part of it waits for COL-01 sales.
- What we cutShoots, remaining sampling, packaging upgrade, buffers: line by line.
- The rulesSafety buffer size, sampling budget per collection, and when founders get paid back.
Appendix
What the numbers are based on
- FactsFounders' money in (820k), cash (8.6k on 6 Nov), every set-up, COL-01 and COL-02 payment: bank statements, the PO sheet and the LINE chats, reconciled.
- COL-01 sales value316 sellable pieces at the trial prices: shirt 5,400, trousers 6,100, jeans 5,200, knit 2,900, mini 6,300, midi 8,100, silk 15,000 and 26,000. Total 1.52M.
- COL-02 planThe SKU master: 11 styles, 385 pieces, factory cost per piece and prices. Trims, freight and packaging at COL-01 rates (92 a piece), 3% buffer.
- EstimatesHow much sells and how fast, 10% discounts, 5% payment fees, 5k a month running costs, the 70k shoots (Pom's range 50k to 70k), a 30k safety buffer.
- TimingCOL-01 starts selling in December. COL-02 order in December (knit pays 40% upfront, denim 50%, K' Aoey nothing until finished), balance and shoot in February, selling from March.
- Full modelProphecy_Cash_Plan.xlsx has the month-by-month version with all inputs.